Specialist and Supported Housing Needs Assessment

The scope of this specialist housing and supported housing needs assessment includes:

• Older people (55+ years).
• Adults with a learning disability/on the autistic spectrum, including young people 'transitioning' to adult services.
• Adults with mental health needs.
• Adults with physical disabilities/long term conditions.
• Individuals at risk of or recovering from homelessness, including:
  • Single homeless individuals, including offenders/ex-offenders, people recovering from drug/alcohol dependency, people with multiple/complex needs.
  • Vulnerable people subject to or fleeing domestic abuse.
  • Vulnerable young people.
  • Refugees, including unaccompanied older children/asylum seeking children.
  • Adults who have served in the armed forces.

Whilst the assessment is shown in relation to 'client cohorts', it is recognised that people's needs are often complex and that innovative approaches to housing and support that go beyond these 'cohort' definitions will be required and are indeed desirable.

Estimated need for specialist housing and accommodation: older people

Housing for older people (retirement housing for sale and for social/affordable rent). The estimated housing for older people net need to 2040 is approximately 670 homes of which approximately 270 homes are estimated to be required for social/affordable rent and approximately 400 are estimated to be required for shared ownership/sale.

Housing with care (extra care housing). The estimated housing with care net need to 2040 is approximately 435 homes of which approximately 305 homes are estimated to be required for social / affordable rent and approximately 130 homes are estimated to be required for shared ownership/sale.

Residential care and nursing care. The estimated residential care net need is not anticipated to increase significantly over the period to 2040. It is likely that residential care bed capacity will need to be increasingly focussed on older people with more complex social care needs, such as people living with dementia. The estimated nursing care net need to 2040 is approximately 230 bedspaces. It is likely that nursing care bed capacity will need to be increasingly focussed on older people with more complex health and social care needs, including people living with dementia.

Estimated need for supported accommodation: Adults with learning disability/autistic people

In summary, an additional circa 90 units of supported accommodation are estimated to be needed by 2030 for people with a learning disability/autistic people and an additional c.215 units by 2040.

Of these additional circa 215 units, circa 25 units are estimated to be for Shared Lives accommodation and c.190 units are estimated to be for supported housing.

Estimated need for supported housing: Adults with significant mental health needs

There is an estimated net need for circa 30 units of additional supported housing for people with significant mental health needs by 2030 and circa 65 units of additional supported housing by 2040.

Estimated need for accessible housing: Adults with physical disabilities

In summary, by 2040, it is estimated that there will be circa 675 wheelchair users with an unmet need for accessible housing, of which:

• It is estimated that circa 255 wheelchair users require fully wheelchair adapted homes, for example, similar to Part M(4) Category 3 broadly equivalent to the Wheelchair Housing Design standard.
• This is the equivalent of a need for circa 15 fully wheelchair-adapted homes required per year to 2040 for the all-age population.
• Among the working-age population, this is the equivalent of a need for circa 6 fully wheelchair-adapted homes required per year to 2040.
• It is estimated that circa 420 wheelchair users require accessible and adaptable homes (for example, not fully wheelchair adapted dwellings), similar to Part M(4) Category 2, broadly equivalent to the Lifetime Homes standard.
• This is the equivalent of a need for circa 25 accessible and adaptable homes required per year to 2040, for the all-age population.
• For the working age population, this is the equivalent of a need for circa 10 accessible and adaptable homes required per year to 2040.

Supported housing for people at risk of or recovering from homelessness

Domestic abuse

Based on analysis of Campbell Tickell's proposals, it is considered that 26 units of additional supported housing are required (2023).

Homelessness and multiple complex needs

Based on analysis of Campbell Tickell's proposals, it is considered that 35 units of additional supported housing are required (2023).

Young people

Based on analysis of Campbell Tickell's proposals, it is considered that 38 units of additional supported accommodation are required (2023).

In addition, in relation to children and young people:

• There is evidence suggests of a need for circa 30 home adaptations per annum for children under 17 years with a disability.
• There is a potential need for additional children's home/residential care provision capacity of circa 14 units required in Gateshead as at 2023 to 2024.

Other identified needs for supported and accessible housing

People who have served in HM armed forces/adult former asylum seekers

It is assumed that the need for supported housing of these relatively small cohorts of people could be met through existing supported housing provision for people who are or have experienced homelessness and/or through the planned commissioning of additional supported housing capacity for people who have experienced homelessness.